To recap:
All games from 2010 onwards are stored on the Telstra servers as simple mp4 files that are easy to download once anybody has a link to them. The AFL website used to make this simple to do, but in recent years all the file links have been hidden behind a wall of javascript (the BigPond AFL videos website is just as bad).
The 7 September 2011 post went into some detail about how you can discover the file links and ended up with a pattern that could predict the url for any quarter of any game in 2011. I am now fairly confident about how to make predictions for the current year.
The Pattern:
The links for 2012 look like this, so far:Q1
http://bptvpd.ngcdn.telstra.com/pd_afl0/OnDemand/2012/ON/iVideo/Premiership/RDnn/AFL12_rdnn_hhh_vs_aaa_1st_qr_full_2M.mp4
Q2
http://bptvpd.ngcdn.telstra.com/pd_afl0/OnDemand/2012/ON/iVideo/Premiership/RDnn/AFL12_rdnn_hhh_vs_aaa_2nd_qr_full_2M.mp4
Q3
http://bptvpd.ngcdn.telstra.com/pd_afl0/OnDemand/2012/ON/iVideo/Premiership/RDnn/AFL12_rdnn_hhh_vs_aaa_3rd_qr_full_2M.mp4
Q4
http://bptvpd.ngcdn.telstra.com/pd_afl0/OnDemand/2012/ON/iVideo/Premiership/RDnn/AFL12_rdnn_hhh_vs_aaa_4th_qr_full_2M.mp4
To make real links, replace nn (in both places) with the round number, hhh with the home team name and aaa with the away team name. Round numbers are like 01, 02, 03 and so on. Team names are adel, bl, carl, coll, ess, fre, geel, gcfc, gws, haw, melb, nmfc, port, rich, stk, syd, wce or wb.
One minor glitch:
Gold Coast has to be written gdfc in (and only in) rounds 02 and 03. I assume that this is somebody's carelessness.
For Bombers Fans:
Sandbelt has used this pattern to predict where the Essendon videos will be for the whole of all the current home-and-away season. Left-click a table cell to view, right-click (or, I hear, Apple+click) to download.
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Downloads do not count towards your quota if you are a BigPond customer.
Videos typically appear a few hours after the game ends.